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Measures of Central Tendency with some MS Excel Tips The Geometric Mean Introduction The arithmetic mean is relevant when several quantities add together to produce a total. The arithmetic mean answers the question, "if all the quantities had the same value, what would that value have to be in order to achieve the same total?" In the same way, the geometric mean is relevant when several quantities multiply together to produce a product. The geometric mean answers the question, "if all the quantities had the same value, what would that value have to be in order to achieve the same product?" A useful page from Canada! So, we use the geometric mean (GM) whenever we are looking to evaluate the mean of a rate of growth, ratios, indices, percentages.
GM Let's apply the GM. Imagine that you were trying to evaluate whether to sell your house and you were only prepared to do that if it had already earned you a rate of return that you liked! You have found out that over the last three years, house prices in your area have increased as follows:
The arithmetic mean rate of increase would be 18.3333% but because we are dealing growth and percentages, we can't use the arithmetic mean.
What we have found is the answer to the question "By what constant factor would your investment need to be multiplied by each year in order to achieve the same effect as multiplying by 1.10 one year, 1.20 the next, and 1.25 the third?" Let's prove that by imagining that my house was worth Using the actual rates of increase we were given:
Make sure you can follow the logic of that table: column 1 multiplied by column 2 and enter the result in column 3 … now carry that result down into column 1 of the next year … Now applying the average, geometric mean, rate:
This table uses the same logic as the previous one. See, the final values at the end of 2001 are equal using both methods. As a matter of interest, let's see what the arithmetic mean rate of increase would give us:
See ... WRONG! Try this yourself, now. MyCo has recently carried out four different projects and the rates of return are for projects 1 to 4 respectively 3%, 4%, 2% and 6%. Calculate the geometric mean of these returns. Do you agree with this?:
Geometric Mean Extension You might already have thought of this, but the geometric mean can be used to work backwards! For example, take the house we thought about selling earlier: it has a value of
GM and Negative Values We said at the beginning that GM cannot cope with negative values and that is true: we cannot find the roots of negative numbers. However, if we take the latter approach and take tend and beginning values and determine the rate of change for a period overall, it may help us to overcome the negative value problem. I don't believe that Microsoft Excel has its own geometric mean function. (See below for update) However, since it is basically a mathematical operation, it is not difficult to set up a spreadsheet that will cope with it. For example, the evaluate the example we have just done, we would enter our formula as follows: =(16500/10000)^(1/3) - 1 = 0.18166575 … 18.166575% which means 1 taken away from (evaluate 16,500 divided by 10,000 and then find the answer to that raised to the power of one third). Alternatively, using logarithms in Excel you could use this approach: =10^(LOG(16500/10000)/3) - 1 = 0.18166575 … 18.166575% This means, working from the inside out, find the logarithm of 16500/10000 and divide it by 3 then find the anti logarithm of the answer to that by raising 10 to the power of that answer … and then take 1 away from it.! For information, if this were a four year problem, the 3 would be replaced by 4 and by 7 if it were a 7 year problem. For you to do: devise a function for Excel to find the GM of the increase in the value of a piece of jewellery whose current value is Did you get either or both of the following?: =(1500/300)^(1/8) - 1= 0.222845 … 22.2845%
Marvellous isn't it? There's more! How about =EXP(LN(1500/300)/8)-1 … find out what that is by using Excel's Help files to define EXP and LN. Update Michael Bell has kindly written to me to tell me that since I wrote this page, either Excel XP has added the function =GEOMEAN(value1,value2 ...) or I missed it in 2002 when I wrote this page. This means that you can now use the Excel function =GEOMEAN(value1,value2 ...) directly to find the geometric mean values. Taking the example from Excel's Help file, here is a table of data that includes the geometric mean calculated from them. For comparison I have included the arithmetic mean, the median and the mode using the relevant in built Excel functions for them.
Now you have a choice: Return to the Arithmetic Mean page Rework the Median and Mode page Shoot on to the Means, Medians and Modes of Grouped Data page Duncan Williamson
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